Educational objectives General goals
Knowledge at an intermediate and advanced level of the main issues in Bayesian statistics.
Ability to apply Bayesian statistical techniques to applicative context.
Knowledge and understanding
Knowledge and understanding of the Bayesian approach to statistical inference, of its models and of its methodologies
Applying knowledge and understanding
Ability to apply Bayesian statistical methods for inferential problems in real-data problems
Making judgements
Ability of choosing appropriate Bayesian methods and models in different inferential problems
Communication skills
Ability of communicating results of the analyses in written and oral form
Learning skills
Students acquire skills useful to approach more advanced topics in Bayesian inference, Advanced data analysis, Statistical computing and Mathematical statistics
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Educational objectives General goals
Knowledge at an intermediate and advanced level of the main issues in Bayesian statistics.
Ability to apply Bayesian statistical techniques to applicative context.
Knowledge and understanding
Knowledge and understanding of the Bayesian approach to statistical inference, of its models and of its methodologies
Applying knowledge and understanding
Ability to apply Bayesian statistical methods for inferential problems in real-data problems
Making judgements
Ability of choosing appropriate Bayesian methods and models in different inferential problems
Communication skills
Ability of communicating results of the analyses in written and oral form
Learning skills
Students acquire skills useful to approach more advanced topics in Bayesian inference, Advanced data analysis, Statistical computing and Mathematical statistics
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Educational objectives General goals
Knowledge at an intermediate and advanced level of the main issues in Bayesian statistics.
Ability to apply Bayesian statistical techniques to applicative context.
Knowledge and understanding
Knowledge and understanding of the Bayesian approach to statistical inference, of its models and of its methodologies
Applying knowledge and understanding
Ability to apply Bayesian statistical methods for inferential problems in real-data problems
Making judgements
Ability of choosing appropriate Bayesian methods and models in different inferential problems
Communication skills
Ability of communicating results of the analyses in written and oral form
Learning skills
Students acquire skills useful to approach more advanced topics in Bayesian inference, Advanced data analysis, Statistical computing and Mathematical statistics
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Educational objectives The Role of International Organizations in Producing Official Statistics
Tentative syllabus
Learning goals
The main objective of this course is to introduce students to the statistical work of International Organizations and their contribution to the production of International Official Statistics. The differences between the statistical work of International Organizations and those of National Statistical Organizations, as well as the specific contribution of International Organizations to the global statistical system will be explained in detail.
Knowledge and understanding
The course is organized in two distinct parts: the first part of the course (12 lessons) will provide students with an introduction to the Global Statistical System, its key institutions and coordination mechanism, and the statistical work of International Organizations; the second part of the course (12 lessons) will familiarize students with the main statistical techniques used in international organizations for the production of official statistics, through hands-on practical training.
In particular, the first part of the course will describe:
1) How the international statistical system is organized: what are the main actors/Institutions involved, what are the key governance bodies, what are the key international statistical frameworks (SNA, BoP, IMTS, SEEA) and standards (including standards on international classifications; code-lists, flag systems) that guide the statistical work at national, regional and global levels; how international statistical standards are developed and implemented. Special focus on the System of National Accounts.
2) The statistical work of International Statistical Organizations: what are the key data sources and how the data flows from national to international organizations is structured; the main quality frameworks used at international level and how the quality of input data is assessed; the techniques used for data validation, editing and imputation; data discrepancies between national and international databases: how they can be explained and addressed; the data dissemination practices of international organizations, including the dissemination of microdata and the challenges it poses in terms of protection of data confidentiality.
3) The demand for new statistics resulting from the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The evolution of the concept of sustainable development and the ambition of the 2030 Agenda; The Global SDG Indicator Framework and its governance mechanisms; the role of the international Organizations as Custodian Agencies, the data flows between countries and International Organizations
The second part of the course will focus on the following six statistical techniques:
1. Theory and practice of index numbers
2. Composite indices for summarizing multidimensional phenomena
3. Time series and seasonal adjustment
4. Measuring latent variables
5. Measuring SDG progress
6. Using remote sensing data for estimating SDG indicators
Applying knowledge and understanding
At the end of the course, students will have the necessary instruments be start working in an international organization, having acquired an in-depth knowledge of the institutional, methodological, and technical aspect of its statistical work. Moreover, students will become familiar with the main statistics published in international databases; the compilation methodology and time series of selected SDG indicators; the main techniques used for the compilation of index numbers, latent variables, composite indices, trend indices and seasonally adjusted data.
Making judgements
At the end of the course, students will be able to apply their skills in analyzing and interpreting official statistics published by international organizations.
Communication skills
At the end of the course, students will acquire the ability of discussing statistical problems in an international environment and presenting oral and written reports of their practical analyses.
Learning skills
At the end of the course, students will be able to further improve their skills and knowledge of international official statistics by self-study and consultation of international organization databases, which will be helpful for future academic and professional activities.
The Role of international Organizations in Producing Official Statistics
Outline of the course
Theory and Practice of the International Statistical System (12 lessons)
1st lesson
1. Introduction: what is official statistics?
a. Official statistics at national level: the Statistics Law
b. The National Statistical Office and its coordinating role of the National Statistical System
c. Other data producers at national level
d. International organizations as producers of official statistics
2. The International Statistical System: an overview
e. The UN Statistical System
f. Non-UN Statistical Organizations
g. Statistical and Policy Organizations (independence of statistics from political influence)
h. Coordination across international/regional organizations: allocation of responsibilities
3. Data Governance for the global statistical system
a. The UN Statistical Commission and its subsidiary bodies
b. The Regional Statistical Commissions
c. Statistics governance of UN Organizations
d. The Committee of the Chief Statisticians of the UN System
e. The Committee for the Coordination of the Statistical System (CCSA)
2nd lesson
4. International Statistical Standards: Main International Classifications, Code lists and Flags
a. International Family of Classifications
b. Main economic classifications: ISIC; CPC; HS; COICOP; COFOG.
c. Classifications by statistical domain: e.g., Land Cover & Land Use Classification.
d. Country/Area Codes for Statistical Use; Regional groupings.
e. SDMX Observation status codes and flags
3rd lesson
5. International Statistical Frameworks
a. Main International Statistical Frameworks
System of National Accounts
International Merchandise Trade Statistics
Balance of Payments
System of Environmental Economic Accounting
b. How International Statistical Frameworks have been developed and how they continue to evolve.
4th lesson
6. Introduction to the System of National Accounts
a. Overview of national accounts
b. Economic actors and transactions
c. GDP: Production approach
d. GDP: Expenditure approach
e. GDP: Income approach
f. National accounts criticism and challenges
5th lesson
7. Data sources of International Organizations
a. National Statistics System (NSO, line ministries) and other national data providers (NGOs, Research Institutions, private sector, citizens, etc.)
i. Questionnaire design for secondary data collections from National Institutions
b. Direct data collection
ii. Internationally led surveys (LSMS-WB; MICS-UNICEF; DHS-USAID; LFS-ILO).
iii. Questionnaire design for primary data collections (from households; farms, businesses)
c. Geospatial data
d. Big data
6th lesson
8. Statistics Principles and Quality Frameworks
a. UN Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics
b. UN National Quality Assurance Framework
c. IMF Data Quality Assurance Frameworks
d. Principles Governing (International) Statistical Activities (CCSA)
e. Statistical Quality Assurance Framework of International Organizations (UN Statistical Quality Assurance Framework; European Statistics Code of Practice - CoP).
7th lesson
9. Quality Assessments
a. EUROSTAT Survey Manager Checklist and Quality Indicators
b. UN Self-assessment checklist
c. IMF General Data Diss. System (e-GDDS), Special Data Diss. Standard (SDDS)
d. OECD Global Assessment
e. UNECE Global Assessments and Sector Reviews
f. EUROSTAT Peer Review
8th lesson
10. Data editing and Imputation of macro data
a. Data availability at international level: the Statistical Capacity Index
b. Methods and sources for the validation of country data
c. System of editing rules
d. Editing procedures: macro-editing and selective editing
e. Overview of main imputation methods
9th lesson
11. Discrepancies between national and international data
a. Type of data discrepancies
b. Consequences of data discrepancies
c. Possible solutions to resolve data discrepancies.
12. Data validation and country ownership
a. Validation of data disseminated and/or methods of data production.
b. Principles of data validation: IAEG-SDG guidelines of global data flows
c. Different modalities of data validation
10th lesson
13. Data dissemination and key data users
a. Defining user requirements for planning purposes: users-producers’ consultations
b. Relevant information for different type of data users:
a. Central Government/ Ministries
b. Regional/local government
c. Public and media
d. Businesses
e. Academia and Research Institutions
f. Other International Organizations
c. Dissemination of data and metadata
d. Main international statistical databases (WB WDI; OECD.Stat; FAOSTAT)
e. User consultations
f. What should IOs disseminate? Only data and statistics (historical time series) or also statistical analysis (and forecasts)?
11th lesson
14. Protection of data confidentiality and Microdata dissemination
a. Principle of data confidentiality
b. Informed consent of respondent
c. Dissemination of microdata set
d. Anonymisation & Statistical disclosure control
e. Terms of use for microdata dissemination
12th lesson
15. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and Its Monitoring Framework
a. The evolution of the concept of sustainable development
b. The key differences between the MDGs and the SDGs.
c. Separation between the Political (definition of Goals and Targets) and the Statistical process (definition of the SDG indicator framework)
d. Governance of Global SDG monitoring
e. Role of the international Organizations as Custodian Agencies
f. Data flows between countries and International Organizations
Statistical Techniques (12 lessons)
(1 lesson methodological introduction; 1 lesson laboratory)
13th -14th lessons
1. Theory and Practice of Index numbers
a. Methodology (Problems in constructing index numbers; Methods of constructing index numbers; Laspeyer’s, Paasche’s, Marshall-Edge worth’s and Fisher’s ideal index numbers; Test of Consistency; Chain Base Index Numbers; Shifting of Base year)
b. Calculation of the Consumer Price index
15th – 16th lessons
2. Composite indices for summarizing multidimensional phenomena
a. Methodology (Pros and cons in the use of composite indices; Pre-requisites for the compilation of composite indices; Steps in the production of composite indices; Criteria for choosing the ‘best’ method)
b. Calculation of the Human Development Index
17th-– 18th lessons
3. Time series and seasonal adjustment
a. Methodology (The components of a time series; The causes of seasonality; Why to adjust for seasonality; Decomposition models; Official software procedures for seasonal adjustment)
b. The use of RJDemetra+: Illustrative example
19th-– 20th lessons
4. Measuring latent variables
a. The Rasch model
b. The calculation of the Food insecurity Experience Scale (SDG indicator 2.1.2)
21st – 22nd lessons
5. Measuring SDG progress
a. Methodology
b. Calculating the distance from the SDG target
c. Calculating the likelihood of achieving the SDG target by 2030
23rd – 24th lessons
6. Using remote sensing data for estimating SDG indicators
a. Combining remote sensing and survey data for producing global estimates of land cover
b. The Mountain Green Cover Indicator (SDG indicator 15.4.1)
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